Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.001424 0.001589 0.001754 0.001931 0.002115 0.002300 0.002499
2025-09-21 0.001214 0.001457 0.001706 0.001980 0.002270 0.002566 0.002892
2025-09-28 0.001075 0.001382 0.001704 0.002064 0.002451 0.002853 0.003299
2025-10-05 0.000909 0.001260 0.001640 0.002072 0.002545 0.003041 0.003596
2025-10-12 0.000784 0.001174 0.001605 0.002104 0.002658 0.003245 0.003907
2025-10-19 0.000647 0.001060 0.001530 0.002086 0.002710 0.003378 0.004138
2025-10-26 0.000539 0.000971 0.001477 0.002086 0.002777 0.003524 0.004378
2025-11-02 0.000433 0.000875 0.001408 0.002062 0.002813 0.003631 0.004574
2025-11-09 0.000359 0.000811 0.001374 0.002073 0.002886 0.003777 0.004808
2025-11-16 0.000290 0.000745 0.001331 0.002072 0.002941 0.003900 0.005015
2025-11-23 0.000228 0.000682 0.001288 0.002066 0.002989 0.004012 0.005208
2025-11-30 0.000195 0.000657 0.001291 0.002115 0.003098 0.004192 0.005475
2025-12-07 0.000117 0.000561 0.001214 0.002084 0.003137 0.004321 0.005717
2025-12-14 0.000073 0.000509 0.001191 0.002121 0.003258 0.004545 0.006068
2025-12-21 0.000047 0.000482 0.001202 0.002199 0.003428 0.004825 0.006485
2025-12-28 0.000015 0.000419 0.001155 0.002202 0.003507 0.005002 0.006784
2026-01-04 0.000001 0.000374 0.001131 0.002231 0.003617 0.005212 0.007121
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000310 0.001071 0.002210 0.003663 0.005347 0.007372
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000261 0.001028 0.002209 0.003731 0.005506 0.007647
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000208 0.000970 0.002183 0.003767 0.005625 0.007876
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000174 0.000941 0.002194 0.003846 0.005794 0.008160
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000139 0.000904 0.002192 0.003908 0.005940 0.008418
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000107 0.000866 0.002186 0.003963 0.006078 0.008663